39 Papers in Highly-Ranked Journals

High-performance batteries need accelerated discovery and optimization of new anode materials. Herein, we explore the Si─Ge─Sn ternary alloy system as a candidate fast-charging anode materials system by utilizing a scanning droplet cell (SDC) as an autonomous electrochemical characterization tool with the goal of subsequent upscaling. As the SDC is performing experiments sequentially, an exploration of the entire ternary space is unfeasible due to time constraints. Thus, closed-loop optimization, guided by real-time data analysis and sequential learning algorithms, is utilized to direct experiments. The lead material identified is scaled up to a coin cell to validate the findings from the autonomous millimeter-scale thin-film electrochemical experimentation. Explainable machine learning (ML) models incorporating data from high-throughput Raman spectroscopy and X-ray diffraction (XRD) are used to elucidate the effect of short and long-range ordering on material performance.

Quantitative bias analysis (QBA) permits assessment of the expected impact of various imperfections of the available data on the results and conclusions of a particular real-world study. This article extends QBA methodology to multivariable time-to-event analyses with right-censored endpoints, possibly including time-varying exposures or covariates. The proposed approach employs data-driven simulations, which preserve important features of the data at hand while offering flexibility in controlling the parameters and assumptions that may affect the results. First, the steps required to perform data-driven simulations are described, and then two examples of real-world time-to-event analyses illustrate their implementation and the insights they may offer. The first example focuses on the omission of an important time-invariant predictor of the outcome in a prognostic study of cancer mortality, and permits separating the expected impact of confounding bias from noncollapsibility. The second example assesses how imprecise timing of an interval-censored event—ascertained only at sparse times of clinic visits—affects its estimated association with a time-varying drug exposure. The simulation results also provide a basis for comparing the performance of two alternative strategies for imputing the unknown event times in this setting. The R scripts that permit the reproduction of our examples are provided.

In this paper, we study the problem of recovering two unknown signals from their convolution, which is commonly referred to as blind deconvolution. Reformulation of blind deconvolution as a low-rank recovery problem has led to multiple theoretical recovery guarantees in the past decade due to the success of the nuclear norm minimization heuristic. In particular, in the absence of noise, exact recovery has been established for sufficiently incoherent signals contained in lower-dimensional subspaces. However, if the convolution is corrupted by additive bounded noise, the stability of the recovery problem remains much less understood. In particular, existing reconstruction bounds involve large dimension factors and therefore fail to explain the empirical evidence for dimension-independent robustness of nuclear norm minimization. Recently, theoretical evidence has emerged for ill-posed behavior of low-rank matrix recovery for sufficiently small noise levels. In this work, we develop improved recovery guarantees for blind deconvolution with adversarial noise which exhibit square-root scaling in the noise level. Hence, our results are consistent with existing counterexamples which speak against linear scaling in the noise level as demonstrated for related low-rank matrix recovery problems.

Deep learning still has drawbacks in terms of trustworthiness, which describes a comprehensible, fair, safe, and reliable method. To mitigate the potential risk of AI, clear obligations associated to trustworthiness have been proposed via regulatory guidelines, e.g., in the European AI Act. Therefore, a central question is to what extent trustworthy deep learning can be realized. Establishing the described properties constituting trustworthiness requires that the factors influencing an algorithmic computation can be retraced, i.e., the algorithmic implementation is transparent. Motivated by the observation that the current evolution of deep learning models necessitates a change in computing technology, we derive a mathematical framework which enables us to analyze whether a transparent implementation in a computing model is feasible. We exemplarily apply our trustworthiness framework to analyze deep learning approaches for inverse problems in digital and analog computing models represented by Turing and Blum-Shub-Smale Machines, respectively. Based on previous results, we find that Blum-Shub-Smale Machines have the potential to establish trustworthy solvers for inverse problems under fairly general conditions, whereas Turing machines cannot guarantee trustworthiness to the same degree.

Chemical ionization mass spectrometry (CIMS) is widely used in atmospheric chemistry studies. However, due to the complex interactions between reagent ions and target compounds, chemical understanding remains limited and compound identification difficult. In this study, we apply machine learning to a reference dataset of pesticides in two standard solutions to build a model that can provide insights from CIMS analyses in atmospheric science. The CIMS measurements were performed with an Orbitrap mass spectrometer coupled to a thermal desorption multi-scheme chemical ionization inlet unit (TD-MION-MS) with both negative and positive ionization modes utilizing Br−, , H3O+ and (CH3)2COH+ (AceH+) as reagent ions. We then trained two machine learning methods on these data: (1) random forest (RF) for classifying if a pesticide can be detected with CIMS and (2) kernel ridge regression (KRR) for predicting the expected CIMS signals. We compared their performance on five different representations of the molecular structure: the topological fingerprint (TopFP), the molecular access system keys (MACCS), a custom descriptor based on standard molecular properties (RDKitPROP), the Coulomb matrix (CM) and the many-body tensor representation (MBTR). The results indicate that MACCS outperforms the other descriptors. Our best classification model reaches a prediction accuracy of 0.85 ± 0.02 and a receiver operating characteristic curve area of 0.91 ± 0.01. Our best regression model reaches an accuracy of 0.44 ± 0.03 logarithmic units of the signal intensity. Subsequent feature importance analysis of the classifiers reveals that the most important sub-structures are NH and OH for the negative ionization schemes and nitrogen-containing groups for the positive ionization schemes.

Variable selection is an important step in the analysis of high-dimensional data, yet there are limited options for survival outcomes in the presence of competing risks. Commonly employed penalized Cox regression considers each event type separately through cause-specific models, neglecting possibly shared information between them. We adapt the feature-weighted elastic net (fwelnet), an elastic net generalization, to survival outcomes and competing risks. For two causes, our proposed algorithm fits two alternating cause-specific models, where each model receives the coefficient vector of the complementary model as prior information. We dub this ‘‘cooperative penalized regression’’, as it enables the modeling of competing risk data with cause-specific models while accounting for shared effects between causes. Coefficients that are shrunken toward zero in the model for the first cause will receive larger penalization weights in the model for the second cause and vice versa. Through multiple iterations, this process ensures stronger penalization of uninformative predictors in both models. We demonstrate our method’s variable selection capabilities on simulated genomics data and apply it to bladder cancer microarray data. We evaluate selection performance using the positive predictive value for the correct selection of informative features and the false positive rate for the selection of uninformative variables. The benchmark compares results with cause-specific penalized Cox regression, random survival forests, and likelihood-boosted Cox regression. Results indicate that our approach is more effective at selecting informative features and removing uninformative features. In settings without shared effects, variable selection performance is similar to cause-specific penalized Cox regression.

Gene set analysis, a popular approach for analyzing high-throughput gene expression data, aims to identify sets of genes that show enriched expression patterns between two conditions. In addition to the multitude of methods available for this task, users are typically left with many options when creating the required input and specifying the internal parameters of the chosen method. This flexibility can lead to uncertainty about the “right” choice, further reinforced by a lack of evidence-based guidance. Especially when their statistical experience is scarce, this uncertainty might entice users to produce preferable results using a ’trial-and-error’ approach. While it may seem unproblematic at first glance, this practice can be viewed as a form of ‘cherry-picking’ and cause an optimistic bias, rendering the results nonreplicable on independent data. After this problem has attracted a lot of attention in the context of classical hypothesis testing, we now aim to raise awareness of such overoptimism in the different and more complex context of gene set analyses. We mimic a hypothetical researcher who systematically selects the analysis variants yielding their preferred results, thereby considering three distinct goals they might pursue. Using a selection of popular gene set analysis methods, we tweak the results in this way for two frequently used benchmark gene expression data sets. Our study indicates that the potential for overoptimism is particularly high for a group of methods frequently used despite being commonly criticized. We conclude by providing practical recommendations to counter overoptimism in research findings in gene set analysis and beyond.

Under the mounting pressure from global warming, green roofs emerge as a valuable source for climate adaptation, particularly in compact metropolises where green space is limited. Consequently, there is a need to quantitatively evaluate the potential for roof greening where it is most needed and suitable. Despite the increasing importance of this issue, there have been limited studies on the effectiveness of remote sensing and deep learning in identifying the potential for roof greening in many cities. To address this, we have created a GreenRoof dataset, comprising approximately 6400 pairs of remote sensing images and corresponding masks of roofs with high greening potential in four European cities. Afterward, we exploit the capabilities of deep learning methods to identify roofs that are suitable for greening from remote sensing images. Using 15 German cities as a case study for future urban rooftop planning, we estimate the spatial potential for retrofitting green roofs. Structural parameters for prioritizing green roof implementation include vegetation coverage, thermal environment, and building density. Results indicate that the total area suitable for green roof retrofitting exceeds 20% of the roof area in the 15 German cities examined. The spatial analysis effectively reflects variation in demand and suitability for green roof retrofitting across different cities. In conclusion, this study provides a versatile screening approach utilizing remote sensing, deep learning, and spatial analysis, which can be readily adapted to inform municipal policies in other cities aiming to promote green roofs and enhance sustainable urban development.

Crime is responsible for major financial losses and serious harm to the well-being of individuals, and, hence, a crucial task of police operations is effective patrolling. Yet, in existing decision models aimed at police operations, microscopic routing decisions from patrolling are not considered, and, furthermore, the objective is limited to surrogate metrics (e. g., response time) instead of crime prevention. In this paper, we thus formalize the decision problem of dynamic police patrolling as a Markov decision process that models microscopic routing decisions, so that the expected number of prevented crimes are maximized. We experimentally show that standard solution approaches for our decision problem are not scalable to real-world settings. As a remedy, we present a tailored and highly efficient Monte Carlo tree search algorithm. We then demonstrate our algorithm numerically using real-world crime data from Chicago and show that the decision-making by our algorithm offers significant improvements for crime prevention over patrolling tactics from current practice. Informed by our results, we finally discuss implications for improving the patrolling tactics in police operations.

Investors are continuously seeking profitable investment opportunities in startups and, hence, for effective decision-making, need to predict a startup’s probability of success. Nowadays, investors can use not only various fundamental information about a startup (e.g., the age of the startup, the number of founders, and the business sector) but also textual description of a startup’s innovation and business model, which is widely available through online venture capital (VC) platforms such as Crunchbase. To support the decision-making of investors, we develop a machine learning approach with the aim of locating successful startups on VC platforms. Specifically, we develop, train, and evaluate a tailored, fused large language model to predict startup success. Thereby, we assess to what extent self-descriptions on VC platforms are predictive of startup success. Using 20,172 online profiles from Crunchbase, we find that our fused large language model can predict startup success, with textual self-descriptions being responsible for a significant part of the predictive power. Our work provides a decision support tool for investors to find profitable investment opportunities.

This study investigates the predictive capability of radiomics in determining programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression (>=1%) status in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients using a newly collected [18F]FDG PET/CT dataset. We aimed to replicate and validate the radiomics-based machine learning (ML) model proposed by Zhao et al. [2] predicting PD-L1 status from PET/CT-imaging.
An independent cohort of 254 NSCLC patients underwent [18F]FDG PET/CT imaging, with primary tumor segmentation conducted using lung tissue window (LTW) and more conservative soft tissue window (STW) methods. Radiomics models (“Rad-score” and “complex model”) and a clinical-stage model from Zhao et al. were evaluated via 10-fold cross-validation and AUC analysis, alongside a benchmark-study comparing different ML-model pipelines. Clinicopathological data were collected from medical records.
On our data, the Rad-score model yielded mean AUCs of 0.593 (STW) and 0.573 (LTW), below Zhao et al.’s 0.761. The complex model achieved mean AUCs of 0.505 (STW) and 0.519 (LTW), lower than Zhao et al.’s 0.769. The clinical model showed a mean AUC of 0.555, below Zhao et al.’s 0.64. All models performed significantly lower than Zhao et al.’s findings. Our benchmark study on four ML pipelines revealed consistently low performance across all configurations.
Our study failed to replicate original findings, suggesting poor model performance and questioning predictive value of radiomics features in classifying PD-L1 expression from PET/CT imaging. These results highlight challenges in replicating radiomics-based ML models and stress the need for rigorous validation

Purpose: To compare the contrast media opacification and diagnostic quality in lower-extremity runoff CT angiography (CTA) between bolus-tracking using conventional fixed trigger delay and patient-specific individualized post-trigger delay.
Methods: In this prospective study, lower-extremity runoff CTA was performed in two cohorts, using either fixed or individualized trigger delay. Both cohorts had identical CT protocols, contrast media applications, and image reconstructions. Objective image quality (mean contrast opacification in HU), and subjective image quality (5-point Likert-scale), were assessed in six vessels: abdominal aorta (AA), common iliac artery (CIA), superficial femoral artery (SFA), popliteal artery (PA), posterior tibial artery (PTA), and dorsalis pedis artery (DPA) by one rater for objective and two raters for subjective image quality. Objective image quality was analyzed using Student t-tests, while subjective ratings were compared with Fisher’s exact test.
Results: Overall, 65 patients were included (mean age: 71 ± 14; 39 men), 35 in the individualized cohort and 30 in the fixed cohort. No differences were found between the groups regarding demographics or radiation exposure. Individualized trigger delay ranged from 2 to 23 s (mean: 8.7 ± 4.0 s) and was 10 s in the fixed cohort. The individualized cohort showed higher opacification in the peripheral arteries (PTA: 479 ± 140 HU vs. 379 ± 106 HU; p = 0.009; DPA: 477 ± 191 HU vs. 346 ± 137 HU; p = 0.009). Overall subjective “image quality” was rated higher in the individualized group (“excellent” or “good” in Rater 1: 97% vs. 57%; p < 0.001; and Rater 2: 89% vs. 53%; p = 0.002).
Conclusion: Individualized post-trigger delay enhances diagnostic quality, by improving vessel opacification in peripheral arteries and increasing subjective image quality in lower extremity runoff CTA.

Objectives: Adenomatous colorectal polyps require endoscopic resection, as opposed to non-adenomatous hyperplastic colorectal polyps. This study aims to evaluate the effect of artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted differentiation of adenomatous and non-adenomatous colorectal polyps at CT colonography on radiologists’ therapy management.
Materials and methods: Five board-certified radiologists evaluated CT colonography images with colorectal polyps of all sizes and morphologies retrospectively and decided whether the depicted polyps required endoscopic resection. After a primary unassisted reading based on current guidelines, a second reading with access to the classification of a radiomics-based random-forest AI-model labelling each polyp as ’non-adenomatous’ or ‘adenomatous’ was performed. Performance was evaluated using polyp histopathology as the reference standard.
Results: 77 polyps in 59 patients comprising 118 polyp image series (47% supine position, 53% prone position) were evaluated unassisted and AI-assisted by five independent board-certified radiologists, resulting in a total of 1180 readings (subsequent polypectomy: yes or no). AI-assisted readings had higher accuracy (76% +/− 1% vs. 84% +/− 1%), sensitivity (78% +/− 6% vs. 85% +/− 1%), and specificity (73% +/− 8% vs. 82% +/− 2%) in selecting polyps eligible for polypectomy (p < 0.001). Inter-reader agreement was improved in the AI-assisted readings (Fleiss’ kappa 0.69 vs. 0.92).
Conclusion: AI-based characterisation of colorectal polyps at CT colonography as a second reader might enable a more precise selection of polyps eligible for subsequent endoscopic resection. However, further studies are needed to confirm this finding and histopathologic polyp evaluation is still mandatory.

The development of affective computing and medical electronic technologies has led to the emergence of Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based methods for the early detection of depression. However, previous studies have often overlooked the necessity for the AI-assisted diagnosis system to be wearable and accessible in practical scenarios for depression recognition. In this work, we present an on-board executable multi-feature transfer-enhanced fusion model for our custom-designed wearable three-lead Electroencephalogram (EEG) sensor, based on EEG data collected from 73 depressed patients and 108 healthy controls. Experimental results show that the proposed model exhibits low-computational complexity (65.0 K parameters), promising Floating-Point Operations (FLOPs) performance (25.6 M), real-time processing (1.5 s/execution), and low power consumption (320.8 mW). Furthermore, it requires only 202.0 KB of Random Access Memory (RAM) and 279.6 KB of Read-Only Memory (ROM) when deployed on the EEG sensor. Despite its low computational and spatial complexity, the model achieves a notable classification accuracy of 95.2%, specificity of 94.0%, and sensitivity of 96.9% under independent test conditions. These results underscore the potential of deploying the model on the wearable three-lead EEG sensor for assisting in the diagnosis of depression.

High-quality annotations are a critical success factor for machine learning (ML) applications. To achieve this, we have
traditionally relied on human annotators, navigating the challenges of limited budgets and the varying task-specific expertise, costs, and availability. Since the emergence of Large Language Models (LLMs), their popularity for generating automated annotations has grown, extending possibilities and complexity of designing an efficient annotation strategy. Increasingly, computer vision capabilities have been integrated into general-purpose LLMs like ChatGPT. This raises the question of how effectively LLMs can be used in satellite image annotation tasks and how they compare to traditional annotator types. This study presents a comprehensive investigation and comparison of various human and automated annotators for image classification. We evaluate the feasibility and economic competitiveness of using the ChatGPT4-V model for a complex land usage annotation task and compare it with alternative human annotators. A set of satellite images is annotated by a domain expert and 15 additional human and automated annotators, differing in expertise and costs. Our analyses examine the annotation quality loss between the expert and other annotators. This comparison is conducted through (1) descriptive analyses, (2) fitting linear probability models, and (3) comparing F1-scores. Ultimately, we simulate annotation strategies where samples are split according to an automatically assigned certainty score. Routing low-certainty images to human annotators can cut total annotation costs by over 50% with minimal impact on label quality. We discuss implications regarding the economic competitiveness of annotation strategies, prompt engineering and the task-specificity of expertise.

Medical ultrasound has been widely used to examine vascular structure in modern clinical practice. However, traditional ultrasound examination often faces challenges related to inter- and intra-operator variation. The robotic ultrasound system (RUSS) appears as a potential solution for such challenges because of its superiority in stability and reproducibility. Given the complex anatomy of human vasculature, multiple vessels often appear in ultrasound images, or a single vessel bifurcates into branches, complicating the examination process. To tackle this challenge, this work presents a gaze-guided RUSS for vascular applications. A gaze tracker captures the eye movements of the operator. The extracted gaze signal guides the RUSS to follow the correct vessel when it bifurcates. Additionally, a gaze-guided segmentation network is proposed to enhance segmentation robustness by exploiting gaze information. However, gaze signals are often noisy, requiring interpretation to accurately discern the operator’s true intentions. To this end, this study proposes a stabilization module to process raw gaze data. The inferred attention heatmap is utilized as a region proposal to aid segmentation and serve as a trigger signal when the operator needs to adjust the scanning target, such as when a bifurcation appears. To ensure appropriate contact between the probe and surface during scanning, an automatic ultrasound confidence-based orientation correction method is developed. In experiments, we demonstrated the efficiency of the proposed gaze-guided segmentation pipeline by comparing it with other methods. Besides, the performance of the proposed gaze-guided RUSS was also validated as a whole on a realistic arm phantom with an uneven surface.

Foundation models are widely utilised for their strong representational capabilities, driven by training on extensive datasets with self-supervised learning. The increasing complexity of these models highlights the importance of interpretability to enhance transparency and improve human understanding of their decision-making processes. Most existing interpretability methods explain model behaviour by attributing importance to individual data elements across different layers, based on their influence on the final prediction. These approaches often emphasise only the most relevant features, overlooking the broader representational space, removing less important features. In this study, we propose a novel framework for explanation generation that serves as an alternative to feature removal, offering a more comprehensive understanding of model behaviour. Our framework leverages the generative abilities of audio language models to replace removed features with contextually appropriate alternatives, providing a more complete view of the model’s decision-making process. Through extensive evaluations on standard benchmarks, including keyword spotting and speech emotion recognition, our approach demonstrates its effectiveness in generating high-quality audio explanations.

Automated recognition of bird vocalizations (BVs) is essential for biodiversity monitoring through passive acoustic monitoring (PAM), yet deep learning (DL) models encounter substantial challenges in open environments. These include difficulties in detecting unknown classes, extracting species-specific features, and achieving robust cross-corpus recognition. To address these challenges, this letter presents a DL-based open-set cross-corpus recognition method for BVs that combines feature construction with open-set recognition (OSR) techniques. We introduce a three-channel spectrogram that integrates both amplitude and phase information to enhance feature representation. To improve the recognition accuracy of known classes across corpora, we employ a class-specific semantic reconstruction model to extract deep features. For unknown class discrimination, we propose a Dual Strategy Coupling Scoring (DSCS) mechanism, which synthesizes the log-likelihood ratio score (LLRS) and reconstruction error score (RES). Our method achieves the highest weighted accuracy among existing approaches on a public dataset, demonstrating its effectiveness for open-set cross-corpus bird vocalization recognition.

Automated Depression Detection (ADD) in speech aims to automatically estimate one’s depressive attributes through artificial intelligence tools towards spoken signals. Nevertheless, existing speech-based ADD works fail to sufficiently consider weakly-supervised cases with inaccurate labels, which may typically appear in intelligent mental health. In this regard, we propose the Self-Learning-based Label Correction (SLLC) approach for weakly-supervised depression detection in speech. The proposed approach employs a self-learning manner connecting a label correction module and a depression detection module. Within the approach, the label correction module fuses likelihood-ratio-based and prototype-based label correction strategies in order to effectively correct the inaccurate labels, while the depression detection module aims at detecting depressed samples through a 1D convolutional recurrent neural network with multiple types of losses. The experimental results on two depression detection corpora show that our proposed SLLC approach performs better compared with existing state-of-the-art speech-based depression detection approaches, in the case of weak supervision with inaccurate labels for depression detection in speech.

Accurate extraction of building footprints from satellite imagery is of high value. Currently, deep learning methods are predominant in this field due to their powerful representation capabilities. However, they generally require extensive pixel-wise annotations, which constrains their practical application. Semi-supervised learning (SSL) significantly mitigates this requirement by leveraging large volumes of unlabeled data for model self-training (ST), thus enhancing the viability of building footprint extraction. Despite its advantages, SSL faces a critical challenge: the imbalanced distribution between the majority background class and the minority building class, which often results in model bias toward the background during training. To address this issue, this article introduces a novel method called DeBiased matching (DBMatch) for semi-supervised building footprint extraction. DBMatch comprises three main components: 1) a basic supervised learning module (SUP) that uses labeled data for initial model training; 2) a classical weak-to-strong ST module that generates pseudo-labels from unlabeled data for further model ST; and 3) a novel logit debiasing (LDB) module that calculates a global logit bias between building and background, allowing for dynamic pseudo-label calibration. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed DBMatch, extensive experiments are performed on three public building footprint extraction datasets covering six global cities in SSL setting. The experimental results demonstrate that our method significantly outperforms some advanced SSL methods in semi-supervised building footprint extraction.

Earth observation (EO) has inevitably entered the Big Data era. The computational challenge associated with analyzing large EO data using sophisticated deep learning models has become a significant bottleneck. To address this challenge, there has been a growing interest in exploring quantum computing as a potential solution. However, the process of encoding EO data into quantum states for analysis potentially undermines the efficiency advantages gained from quantum computing. This article introduces a hybrid quantum deep learning model that effectively encodes and analyzes EO data for classification tasks. The proposed model uses an efficient encoding approach called superpixel encoding, which reduces the quantum resources required for large image representation by incorporating the concept of superpixels. To validate the effectiveness of our model, we conducted evaluations on multiple EO benchmarks, including Overhead-MNIST, So2Sat LCZ42, and SAT-6 datasets. In addition, we studied the impacts of different interaction gates and measurements on classification performance to guide model optimization. The experimental results suggest the validity of our model for accurate classification of EO data.

Background: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) affects breathing, speech production, and coughing. We evaluated a machine learning analysis of speech for classifying the disease severity of COPD.
Methods: In this single centre study, non-consecutive COPD patients were prospectively recruited for comparing their speech characteristics during and after an acute COPD exacerbation. We extracted a set of spectral, prosodic, and temporal variability features, which were used as input to a support vector machine (SVM). Our baseline for predicting patient state was an SVM model using self-reported BORG and COPD Assessment Test (CAT) scores.
Results: In 50 COPD patients (52% males, 22% GOLD II, 44% GOLD III, 32% GOLD IV, all patients group E), speech analysis was superior in distinguishing during and after exacerbation status compared to BORG and CAT scores alone by achieving 84% accuracy in prediction. CAT scores correlated with reading rhythm, and BORG scales with stability in articulation. Pulmonary function testing (PFT) correlated with speech pause rate and speech rhythm variability.
Conclusion: Speech analysis may be a viable technology for classifying COPD status, opening up new opportunities for remote disease monitoring.

Age estimations are relevant for pre-trial detention, sentencing in criminal cases and as part of the evaluation in asylum processes to protect the rights and privileges of minors. No current method can determine an exact chronological age due to individual variations in biological development. This study seeks to develop a validated statistical model for estimating an age relative to key legal thresholds (15, 18, and 21 years) based on a skeletal (CT-clavicle, radiography-hand/wrist or MR-knee) and tooth (radiography-third molar) developmental stages. The whole model is based on 34 scientific studies, divided into examinations of the hand/wrist (15 studies), clavicle (5 studies), distal femur (4 studies), and third molars (10 studies). In total, data from approximately 27,000 individuals have been incorporated and the model has subsequently been validated with data from 5,000 individuals. The core framework of the model is built upon transition analysis and is further developed by a combination of a type of parametric bootstrapping and Bayesian theory. Validation of the model includes testing the models on independent datasets of individuals with known ages and shows a high precision with separate populations aligning closely with the model’s predictions. The practical use of the complex statistical model requires a user-friendly tool to provide probabilities together with the margin of error. The assessment based on the model forms the medical component for the overall evaluation of an individual’s age.

Land cover information is indispensable for advancing the United Nations’ sustainable development goals, and land cover mapping under a more detailed category system would significantly contribute to economic livelihood tracking and environmental degradation measurement. However, the substantial difficulty in acquiring fine-grained training data makes the implementation of this task particularly challenging. Here, we propose to combine fully labeled source domain and weakly labeled target domain for weakly supervised domain adaptation (WSDA). This is beneficial as the utilization of sparse and coarse weak labels can considerably alleviate the labor required for precise and detailed land cover annotation. Specifically, we introduce the Prototype-based pseudo-label Rectification and Expansion (PRE) approach, which leverages the prototypes (i.e., the class-wise feature centroids) as the bridge to connect sparse labels and global feature distributions. According to the feature distances to the prototypes, the confidence of pseudo-labels predicted in the unlabeled regions of the target domain is assessed. This confidence is then utilized to guide the dynamic expansion and rectification of pseudo-labels. Based on PRE, we carry out high categorical resolution land cover mapping for 10 cities in different regions around the world, severally using PlanetScope, Gaofen-1, and Sentinel-2 satellite images. In the study areas, we achieve cross-sensor, cross-category, and cross-continent WSDA, with the overall accuracy exceeding 80%. The promising results indicate that PRE is capable of reducing the dependency of land cover classification on high-quality annotations, thereby improving label efficiency. We expect our work to enable global fine-grained land cover mapping, which in turn promote Earth observation to provide more precise and thorough information for environmental monitoring.

I am grateful to James Cordeiro, Timothy Murphy, Heloise Robinson and Teresa Baron for their perceptive and stimulating comments on my article in this journal. In what follows, I seek to respond to some of the main points raised in each commentary.

Parenting our biological children is a centrally important matter, but how, if it all, can it be justified? According to a contemporary influential line of thinking, the acquisition by parents of a moral right to parent their biological children should be grounded by appeal to the value of the intimate emotional relationship that gestation facilitates between a newborn and a gestational procreator. I evaluate two arguments in defence of this proposal and argue that both are unconvincing.Data are available in a public, open access repository.

A scoring system is a simple decision model that checks a set of features, adds a certain number of points to a total score for each feature that is satisfied, and finally makes a decision by comparing the total score to a threshold. Scoring systems have a long history of active use in safety-critical domains such as healthcare and justice, where they provide guidance for making objective and accurate decisions. Given their genuine interpretability, the idea of learning scoring systems from data is obviously appealing from the perspective of explainable AI. In this paper, we propose a practically motivated extension of scoring systems called probabilistic scoring lists (PSL), as well as a method for learning PSLs from data. Instead of making a deterministic decision, a PSL represents uncertainty in the form of probability distributions, or, more generally, probability intervals. Moreover, in the spirit of decision lists, a PSL evaluates features one by one and stops as soon as a decision can be made with enough confidence. To evaluate our approach, we conduct case studies in the medical domain and on standard benchmark data.

Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) can be diagnosed using various diagnostic modalities. The electrocardiogram (ECG) is a cost-effective and widely available diagnostic aid that provides functional information of the heart. However, its ability to classify and spatially localise CVD is limited. In contrast, cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging provides detailed structural information of the heart and thus enables evidence-based diagnosis of CVD, but long scan times and high costs limit its use in clinical routine. In this work, we present a deep learning strategy for cost-effective and comprehensive cardiac screening solely from ECG. Our approach combines multimodal contrastive learning with masked data modelling to transfer domain-specific information from CMR imaging to ECG representations. In extensive experiments using data from 40,044 UK Biobank subjects, we demonstrate the utility and generalisability of our method for subject-specific risk prediction of CVD and the prediction of cardiac phenotypes using only ECG data. Specifically, our novel multimodal pre-training paradigm improves performance by up to 12.19% for risk prediction and 27.59% for phenotype prediction. In a qualitative analysis, we demonstrate that our learned ECG representations incorporate information from CMR image regions of interest.

Despite significant progress in 3D medical image segmentation using deep learning, manual annotation remains a labor-intensive bottleneck. Self-supervised mask propagation (SMP) methods have emerged to alleviate this challenge, allowing intra-volume segmentation with just a single slice annotation. However, the previous SMP methods often rely on 2D information and ignore volumetric contexts. While our previous work, called Vol2Flow, attempts to address this concern, it exhibits limitations, including not focusing enough on local (i.e., slice-pair) information, neglecting global information (i.e., volumetric contexts) in the objective function, and error accumulation during slice-to-slice reconstruction. This paper introduces Flow2Mask, a novel SMP method, developed to overcome the limitations of previous SMP approaches, particularly Vol2Flow. During training, Flow2Mask proposes the Local-to-Global (L2G) loss to learn inter-slice flow fields among all consecutive slices within a volume in an unsupervised manner. This dynamic loss is based on curriculum learning to gradually learn information within a volume from local to global contexts. Additionally, the Inter-Slice Smoothness (ISS) loss is introduced as a regularization term to encourage changes between the slices occur consistently and continuously. During inference, Flow2Mask leverages these 3D flow fields for inter-slice mask propagation in a 3D image, spreading annotation from a single annotated slice to the entire volume. Moreover, we propose an automatic strategy to select the most representative slice as initial annotation in the mask propagation process. Experimental evaluations on different abdominal datasets demonstrate that our proposed SMP method outperforms previous approaches and improves the overall mean DSC of Vol2Flow by +2.1%, +8.2%, and +4.0% for the Sliver, CHAOS, and 3D-IRCAD datasets, respectively. Furthermore, Flow2Mask even exhibits substantial improvements in weakly-supervised and self-supervised few-shot segmentation methods when applied as a mask completion tool.

Recent machine-learning (ML)-based advances in single-cell data science have enabled the stratification of human tissue donors at single-cell resolution, promising to provide valuable diagnostic and prognostic insights. However, such insights are susceptible to biases. Here we discuss various biases that emerge along the pipeline of ML-based single-cell analysis, ranging from societal biases affecting whose samples are collected, to clinical and cohort biases that influence the generalizability of single-cell datasets, biases stemming from single-cell sequencing, ML biases specific to (weakly supervised or unsupervised) ML models trained on human single-cell samples and biases during the interpretation of results from ML models. We end by providing methods for single-cell data scientists to assess and mitigate biases, and call for efforts to address the root causes of biases.

Normative representation learning focuses on understanding the typical anatomical distributions from large datasets of medical scans from healthy individuals. Generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) leverages this attribute to synthesize images that accurately reflect these normative patterns. This capability enables the AI allowing them to effectively detect and correct anomalies in new, unseen pathological data without the need for expert labeling. Traditional anomaly detection methods often evaluate the anomaly detection performance, overlooking the crucial role of normative learning. In our analysis, we introduce novel metrics, specifically designed to evaluate this facet in AI models. We apply these metrics across various generative AI frameworks, including advanced diffusion models, and rigorously test them against complex and diverse brain pathologies. In addition, we conduct a large multi-reader study to compare these metrics to experts’ evaluations. Our analysis demonstrates that models proficient in normative learning exhibit exceptional versatility, adeptly detecting a wide range of unseen medical conditions.

A major uncertainty in predicting the behaviour of marine-terminating glaciers is ice dynamics driven by non-linear calving front retreat, which is poorly understood and modelled. Using 124919 calving front positions for 149 marine-terminating glaciers in Svalbard from 1985 to 2023, generated with deep learning, we identify pervasive calving front retreats for non-surging glaciers over the past 38 years. We observe widespread seasonal cycles in calving front position for over half of the glaciers. At the seasonal timescale, peak retreat rates exhibit a several-month phase lag, with changes on the west coast occurring before those on the east coast, coincident with regional ocean warming. This spatial variability in seasonal patterns is linked to different timings of warm ocean water inflow from the West Spitsbergen Current, demonstrating the dominant role of ice-ocean interaction in seasonal front changes. The interannual variability of calving front retreat shows a strong sensitivity to both atmospheric and oceanic warming, with immediate responses to large air and ocean temperature anomalies in 2016 and 2019, likely driven by atmospheric blocking that can influence extreme temperature variability. With more frequent blocking occurring and continued regional warming, future calving front retreats will likely intensify, leading to more significant glacier mass loss.

Many scientific datasets are compositional in nature. Important biological examples include species abundances in ecology, cell-type compositions derived from single-cell sequencing data, and amplicon abundance data in microbiome research. Here, we provide a causal view on compositional data in an instrumental variable setting where the composition acts as the cause. First, we crisply articulate potential pitfalls for practitioners regarding the interpretation of compositional causes from the viewpoint of interventions and warn against attributing causal meaning to common summary statistics such as diversity indices in microbiome data analysis. We then advocate for and develop multivariate methods using statistical data transformations and regression techniques that take the special structure of the compositional sample space into account while still yielding scientifically interpretable results. In a comparative analysis on synthetic and real microbiome data we show the advantages and limitations of our proposal. We posit that our analysis provides a useful framework and guidance for valid and informative cause-effect estimation in the context of compositional data.

In this paper, we consider ensembles of control-affine systems in ℝd, and we study simultaneous optimal control problems related to the worst-case minimization. After proving that such problems admit solutions, denoting with (ΘN)N a sequence of compact sets that parametrize the ensembles of systems, we first show that the corresponding minimax optimal control problems are Γ-convergent whenever (ΘN)N has a limit with respect to the Hausdorff distance. Besides its independent interest, the previous result plays a crucial role for establishing the Pontryagin Maximum Principle (PMP) when the ensemble is parametrized by a set Θ consisting of infinitely many points. Namely, we first approximate Θ by finite and increasing-in-size sets (ΘN)N for which the PMP is known, and then we derive the PMP for the Γ-limiting problem. The same strategy can be pursued in applications, where we can reduce infinite ensembles to finite ones to compute the minimizers numerically. We bring as a numerical example the Schrödinger equation for a qubit with uncertain resonance frequency.

Estimating the generalization error (GE) of machine learning models is fundamental, with resampling methods being the most common approach. However, in non-standard settings, particularly those where observations are not independently and identically distributed, resampling using simple random data divisions may lead to biased GE estimates. This paper strives to present well-grounded guidelines for GE estimation in various such non-standard settings: clustered data, spatial data, unequal sampling probabilities, concept drift, and hierarchically structured outcomes. Our overview combines well-established methodologies with other existing methods that, to our knowledge, have not been frequently considered in these particular settings. A unifying principle among these techniques is that the test data used in each iteration of the resampling procedure should reflect the new observations to which the model will be applied, while the training data should be representative of the entire data set used to obtain the final model. Beyond providing an overview, we address literature gaps by conducting simulation studies. These studies assess the necessity of using GE-estimation methods tailored to the respective setting. Our findings corroborate the concern that standard resampling methods often yield biased GE estimates in non-standard settings, underscoring the importance of tailored GE estimation.

Stationary distributions of multivariate diffusion processes have recently been proposed as probabilistic models of causal systems in statistics and machine learning. Motivated by these developments, we study stationary multivariate diffusion processes with a sparsely structured drift. Our main result gives a characterization of the conditional independence relations that hold in a stationary distribution. The result draws on a graphical representation of the drift structure and pertains to conditional independence relations that hold generally as a consequence of the drift’s sparsity pattern.

The ice thickness of the world’s glaciers is mostly unmeasured, and physics-based models to reconstruct ice thickness cannot always deliver accurate estimates. In this study, we use deep learning paired with physical knowledge to generate ice thickness estimates for all glaciers of Spitsbergen, Barentsøya, and Edgeøya in Svalbard. We incorporate mass conservation and other physically derived conditions into a neural network to predict plausible ice thicknesses even for glaciers without any in situ ice thickness measurements. With a glacier-wise cross-validation scheme, we evaluate the performance of the physics-informed neural network. The results of these proof-of-concept experiments let us identify several challenges and opportunities that affect the model’s performance in a real-world setting.

Active learning (AL) has shown promise to be a particularly data-efficient machine learning approach. Yet, its performance depends on the application, and it is not clear when AL practitioners can expect computational savings. Here, we carry out a systematic AL performance assessment for three diverse molecular datasets and two common scientific tasks: compiling compact, informative datasets and targeted molecular searches. We implemented AL with Gaussian processes (GP) and used the many-body tensor as molecular representation. For the first task, we tested different data acquisition strategies, batch sizes, and GP noise settings. AL was insensitive to the acquisition batch size, and we observed the best AL performance for the acquisition strategy that combines uncertainty reduction with clustering to promote diversity. However, for optimal GP noise settings, AL did not outperform the randomized selection of data points. Conversely, for targeted searches, AL outperformed random sampling and achieved data savings of up to 64%. Our analysis provides insight into this task-specific performance difference in terms of target distributions and data collection strategies. We established that the performance of AL depends on the relative distribution of the target molecules in comparison to the total dataset distribution, with the largest computational savings achieved when their overlap is minimal.

Digital pathology is revolutionizing clinical diagnostics by offering enhanced efficiency, accuracy, and accessibility of pathological examinations. This study explores the implementation and validation of digital pathology in a large tertiary academic center, focusing on its gradual integration and transition into routine clinical diagnostics. In a comprehensive validation process over a 6-month period, we compared sign-out of digital and physical glass slides of a wide range of different tissue specimens and histopathological diagnoses. Key metrics such as diagnostic concordance and user satisfaction were assessed by involving the pathologists in a validation training and study phase. We measured turnaround times before and after transitioning to digital pathology to assess the impact on overall efficiency. Our results demonstrate a 99% concordance between the analog and digital reports while at the same time reducing the time to sign out a case by almost a minute, suggesting potential long-term efficiency gains. Our digital transition positively impacted our pathology workflow: Pathologists reported increased flexibility and satisfaction due to the ease of accessing and sharing digital slides. However, challenges were identified, including technical issues related to image quality and system integration. Lessons learned from this study emphasize the importance of robust training programs, adequate IT support, and ongoing evaluation to ensure successful integration. This validation study confirms that digital pathology is a viable and beneficial tool for accurate clinical routine diagnostics in large academic centers, offering insights for other institutions considering similar endeavors.